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I Warned the Democrats About Inflation

Originally published in the New York Times. Enough already about “transitory” inflation. Last Wednesday’s terrible Consumer Price Index news shifts our inflation prospects strongly into the “embedded” category: Prices are up 6.2 percent from a year ago, the largest increase in 30 years. While not likely to morph into the double-digit inflation I covered for The New York Times […]

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Washington Should Quit Its Budget Gimmicks

Sometimes true costs are hidden by backloading them. Originally published in the New York Times. Americans of a certain age may remember J. Wellington Wimpy, a droll character from Popeye cartoons. “I’ll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today,” Wimpy would periodically implore passers-by. That pretty much summarizes the opaque budget math behind the two huge […]

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The Housing Market Is on Fire. It Doesn’t Need More Fuel.

It’s not time yet to be raising interest rates. But let’s at least stop pouring $120 billion a month into the financial markets. Originally published in the New York Times. On Wednesday the Federal Reserve tiptoed ever so slightly toward reducing its efforts to pump liquidity into the financial system. It did so through brief references that […]

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New York Times: These 10 Charts Will Help You Understand 2024

Donald Trump triumphs. The economy chugs along. A tech billionaire builds a shadow presidency. These...

New York Times: Donald Trump Will Do Nothing to Bring Back Our Dying American Dream

Donald Trump got lucky in his first term. When he arrived, inflation was low, unemployment was falli...

The New York Times: How Project 2025 Would Change the Country

When Donald Trump takes the debate stage on Tuesday, he will doubtless again try to disavow Project ...

The New York Times: Don’t Take Trump’s Word for It. Check the Data.

For more than 90 minutes last week, Donald Trump gave a rambling speech accepting the Republican nom...

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